Compare today's MLB run lines, recent cover rates, sportsbook odds, historical performance, and Sweat Scores. The board below uses the current MLB run-line feed first, then keeps the guide and calculator for payout math and interpretation.
Current MLB run-line feed
Board source date: August 1, 2026 ET. Rows are sorted by PLAY calls first, then Sweat Score.
| Matchup | Run Line | Best Odds | Recent Cover | Sweat Score | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAL vs PHI | BAL +1.5 | -130 | 8-2 last 10 | 9 | PLAY Baltimore is rolling hard—covering 75-87.5% over the last four to ten games with perfect consistency. |
| BOS vs LAD | BOS +1.5 | -155 | 8-2 last 10 | 9 | PLAY Boston's been an absolute cash machine on the run line lately, covering 80–100% across all recent windows while the Dodgers sit flat at 33–50%. |
| CHC vs NYY | CHC +1.5 | -197 | 8-2 last 10 | 9 | PLAY Cubs are running hot on the run-line, covering at 75-87.5% over recent windows while the Yankees stumble to 25-40%. |
| MIN vs SEA | MIN +1.5 | -155 | 7-3 last 10 | 9 | PLAY Minnesota's run-line form is elite across all recent windows, posting 70-83% cover rates against the spread while Seattle sits dormant below 17%. |
| WSN vs ATL | WSN +1.5 | -135 | 8-2 last 10 | 9 | PLAY Washington's been a run-line machine lately, covering 80% over the last 10 games while Atlanta's limping in at just 10% on the same span. |
| ARI vs CLE | ARI +1.5 | -143 | 8-2 last 10 | 8 | PLAY Arizona has been a cover machine lately, posting perfect L4 marks and maintaining 75-80% cover rates over longer samples. |
| CHW vs TBR | CHW +1.5 | -142 | 6-4 last 10 | 8 | PLAY White Sox are running hot on the run line, covering at a 100% clip over their last four games while Tampa Bay stumbles at just 25%. |
| CIN vs PIT | CIN +1.5 | -162 | 8-2 last 10 | 8 | PLAY Cincinnati's run-line value shines bright here, posting a pristine 75-80% cover rate across all recent windows with zero volatility in execution. |
| HOU vs TEX | HOU +1.5 | -155 | 9-1 last 10 | 8 | PLAY Houston has been a cover machine lately, posting 90% L10 compliance against the spread while Texas stumbles at 40%. |
| TOR vs STL | TOR -1.5 | +136 | 4-6 last 10 | 8 | PLAY Toronto shows muscle against St. |
| MIL vs LAA | MIL -1.5 | +142 | 5-5 last 10 | 5 | BOARD LEAN: MIL -1.5 — MIL -1.5 — Milwaukee shows solid L6 form at 66.7% cover rate, but the edge compresses dramatically over longer windows—L10 data flips negative at -5%. |
| ATH vs DET | ATH +1.5 | -122 | 4-6 last 10 | 4 | BOARD LEAN: ATH +1.5 — ATH +1.5 — ATH at +1.5 against DET shows modest form improvement over the last eight games, where they've covered at a 37.5% clip versus Detroit's 25%. |
Odds are shown from the available sportsbook feed and can move. This table is research context only, not a recommendation to place a wager.
The run line is baseball's spread market. The standard number is 1.5 runs, so a favorite listed at -1.5 needs to win by two or more runs, while an underdog listed at +1.5 can win outright or lose by exactly one run and still cover.
If Los Angeles is -1.5 on the run line, Los Angeles must win by at least two runs. A 5-3 win covers -1.5. A 4-3 win does not cover because the favorite won by only one run.
If Pittsburgh is +1.5, Pittsburgh covers by winning the game outright or by losing by one run. A 4-3 loss still covers +1.5, while a 5-3 loss does not.
Favorites at -1.5 usually offer a higher payout than their moneyline because the team must win by margin. Underdogs at +1.5 usually cost more than the moneyline because the bettor receives an extra run and a half of cushion.
A standard 1.5 run line cannot push because MLB games do not end with half-run margins. Alternate run lines can use whole numbers or larger spreads, and those markets may have different push, void, or pricing rules depending on the sportsbook.
Use the run-line dashboard to review team-level published-card history, recent cover records, no-actions, and Sweat Score 8+ signals. The daily best-bets card can include run lines when the current slate passes the same ranking and quality checks used by the analyzer.
Use the interactive page to enter the run-line side, stake, and American odds. The calculator estimates profit, total payout, and break-even probability.
Calculator output is math only. It does not include sportsbook limits, boosts, taxes, or any claim that the bet has positive expected value.
Updated from the latest MLB card
Open fresh player and team history, then use the live analyzer for the complete market-specific trend board.
Move from this guide into the live tool, latest cards, and historical proof.
+1.5 means the team can win outright or lose by one run and still cover the run line.
-1.5 means the team must win by two or more runs to cover the run line.
No. A standard 1.5 run line cannot push because the half-run prevents a tie against the spread.
For negative American odds, divide the absolute odds by absolute odds plus 100. For positive odds, divide 100 by odds plus 100.
Use the MLB run-line analyzer dashboard and MLB team dashboards to audit published run-line records.
No. This is educational research and math context, not financial advice or a guaranteed outcome.
Educational content only; not financial advice. Lines move quickly, and responsible betting limits matter.