Compare today's MLB run lines, recent cover rates, sportsbook odds, historical performance, and Sweat Scores. The board below uses the current MLB run-line feed first, then keeps the guide and calculator for payout math and interpretation.
Current MLB run-line feed
Board source date: September 15, 2026 ET. Rows are sorted by PLAY calls first, then Sweat Score.
| Matchup | Run Line | Best Odds | Recent Cover | Sweat Score | Read |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET vs TOR | DET +1.5 | -178 | 10-0 last 10 | 9 | PLAY Detroit has covered the run-line in all L4 and L10 samples (100%), while Toronto covers only 40-50% over those windows, yielding a 50% edge in the L10 frame. |
| KCR vs HOU | KCR +1.5 | -157 | 6-4 last 10 | 9 | PLAY Kansas City covers the run-line at 60% over L10, with Houston managing only 20% covers against the spread in that window, yielding a 15% edge. |
| LAA vs SEA | LAA +1.5 | -114 | 9-1 last 10 | 9 | PLAY LAA has covered the +1.5 run line in 100% of last-4 and last-6 games, with Seattle covering only 25% and 16.7% respectively over those windows. |
| MIA vs ARI | MIA +1.5 | -170 | 6-4 last 10 | 9 | PLAY Miami covers the run-line at 75% over L4 and 60% over L10, with Arizona managing only 20-25% coverage in the same windows. |
| NYY vs MIN | NYY -1.5 | -104 | 7-3 last 10 | 9 | PLAY NYY shows dominant run-line performance in recent windows: 83.33% cover rate over L6 and 75% over L4, with MIN posting just 25-33% coverage rates in those same spans. |
| TEX vs BOS | TEX +1.5 | -175 | 8-2 last 10 | 9 | PLAY Texas shows 83.3% cover rate over L6 and 80.0% over L10, both substantially ahead of Boston's 50.0% marks, yielding a 30-33 point edge in recent windows. |
| WSN vs PHI | WSN +1.5 | +104 | 6-4 last 10 | 9 | PLAY Washington's L6 cover rate of 83.33% versus Philadelphia's 33.33% reflects a 33.33 percentage point edge in the most recent sample. |
| LAD vs CIN | LAD -1.5 | -140 | 6-4 last 10 | 8 | PLAY LAD shows strong recent form covering the run-line, posting 62.5% cover rate over L8 and 60.0% over L10 against Cincinnati's 37.5% and 40.0% respective rates. |
| SDP vs COL | SDP -1.5 | -125 | 3-7 last 10 | 8 | PLAY San Diego shows a 25-point edge over Colorado in the L4 window (50% SDP cover rate versus 25% COL), strengthening to a 33-point edge in L6 (50% SDP versus 17% COL). |
| ATH vs TBR | ATH +1.5 | -114 | 7-3 last 10 | 6 | BOARD LEAN: ATH +1.5 — ATH +1.5 — ATH shows a 75% cover rate over L4 versus Tampa Bay's 50%, generating a 25-point edge in the short window. |
| CLE vs CHW | CLE -1.5 | +144 | 3-7 last 10 | 6 | BOARD LEAN: CLE -1.5 — CLE -1.5 — Cleveland shows a 25.0% edge over Chicago in the L6 window, where the White Sox covered only 33.3% against the line versus Cleveland's 50.0%. |
| CHC vs ATL | CHC -1.5 | +148 | 3-7 last 10 | 5 | BOARD LEAN: CHC -1.5 — CHC -1.5 — Chicago shows a 75% win rate against market expectation over L4, but cover rate drops to 50% on the -1.5 line itself. |
Odds are shown from the available sportsbook feed and can move. This table is research context only, not a recommendation to place a wager.
The run line is baseball's spread market. The standard number is 1.5 runs, so a favorite listed at -1.5 needs to win by two or more runs, while an underdog listed at +1.5 can win outright or lose by exactly one run and still cover.
If Los Angeles is -1.5 on the run line, Los Angeles must win by at least two runs. A 5-3 win covers -1.5. A 4-3 win does not cover because the favorite won by only one run.
If Pittsburgh is +1.5, Pittsburgh covers by winning the game outright or by losing by one run. A 4-3 loss still covers +1.5, while a 5-3 loss does not.
Favorites at -1.5 usually offer a higher payout than their moneyline because the team must win by margin. Underdogs at +1.5 usually cost more than the moneyline because the bettor receives an extra run and a half of cushion.
A standard 1.5 run line cannot push because MLB games do not end with half-run margins. Alternate run lines can use whole numbers or larger spreads, and those markets may have different push, void, or pricing rules depending on the sportsbook.
Use the run-line dashboard to review team-level published-signal history, recent cover records, no-actions, and Sweat Score 8+ performance. The daily research board can include run lines when the current slate passes the same ranking and quality checks used by the Analyzer.
Use the interactive page to enter the run-line side, stake, and American odds. The calculator estimates profit, total payout, and break-even probability.
Calculator output is math only. It does not include sportsbook limits, boosts, taxes, or any claim that the bet has positive expected value.
Updated from the latest MLB card
Open fresh player and team history, then use the live analyzer for the complete market-specific trend board.
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+1.5 means the team can win outright or lose by one run and still cover the run line.
-1.5 means the team must win by two or more runs to cover the run line.
No. A standard 1.5 run line cannot push because the half-run prevents a tie against the spread.
For negative American odds, divide the absolute odds by absolute odds plus 100. For positive odds, divide 100 by odds plus 100.
Use the MLB run-line analyzer dashboard and MLB team dashboards to audit published run-line records.
No. This is educational research and math context, not financial advice or a guaranteed outcome.
Educational content only; not financial advice. Lines move quickly, and responsible betting limits matter.